Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 29.135422 33.554107 38.321182 43.834604 50.023220 56.742766 64.578087
2025-01-19 20.444616 26.312525 33.251776 42.006261 52.693650 65.250367 81.047794
2025-01-26 17.192001 24.108014 32.878583 44.682282 59.998918 79.033021 104.282624
2025-02-02 15.479815 23.285889 33.761000 48.602033 68.800336 95.007185 131.196370
2025-02-09 13.172160 21.160455 32.456612 49.229214 73.056407 105.178002 151.125670
2025-02-16 11.184756 19.108633 30.871715 49.103184 76.025167 113.579850 168.997135
2025-02-23 9.507155 17.224054 29.217909 48.565522 78.172731 120.778661 185.441325
2025-03-02 8.219262 15.739587 27.941264 48.366075 80.658185 128.456797 202.855321
2025-03-09 7.144316 14.433087 26.755667 48.117860 82.939741 135.849602 220.141558
2025-03-16 5.813683 12.455600 24.198676 45.337703 80.935083 136.537810 227.304297
2025-03-23 5.346428 11.997691 24.176238 46.747536 85.716335 147.876723 251.232183
2025-03-30 5.111763 11.951269 24.865791 49.416776 92.727104 163.070217 281.884557
2025-04-06 4.370961 10.807523 23.478247 48.400447 93.644568 168.900306 298.664327
2025-04-13 3.599758 9.468247 21.559398 46.234272 92.426414 171.228336 310.100009
2025-04-20 3.448961 9.473731 22.286700 49.106629 100.378248 189.359171 348.489026
2025-04-27 3.432084 9.784944 23.665829 53.351775 111.111695 212.801671 396.897697
2025-05-04 3.100373 9.281481 23.270857 54.030360 115.248320 225.018035 426.853318
2025-05-11 2.746109 8.652819 22.519502 53.893476 117.795692 234.530899 452.573490
2025-05-18 2.406931 7.993716 21.607427 53.310527 119.396157 242.376130 475.684773
2025-05-25 2.134297 7.458864 20.906443 53.094271 121.674193 251.533480 501.500204
2025-06-01 1.892030 6.958675 20.218065 52.825136 123.799914 260.483634 527.313064
2025-06-08 1.542276 6.053655 18.401484 49.809638 120.010090 258.043416 532.189536
2025-06-15 1.448210 5.928254 18.547126 51.339054 125.864377 274.320523 572.347843